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What are the Safest and Most Dangerous States on the Fourth of July?

Fourth of July weekend is one of the most dangerous times of the year in the United States. According to the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, the Fourth of July is one of the deadliest days in the year for motorists, and more fires are reported on Independence Day than any other day in the year, according to the National Fire Protection Agency.

But where you are could determine how safe you are. Some states are particularly vulnerable to wildfires and highway accidents. Other states are much safer from these threats.

We want to help all Americans celebrate safely, so we’ve compiled data to rank all 50 states from safest to most dangerous.

Safest & most dangerous states

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10 safest states on July 4th

RankState
1Connecticut
2New York
3New Jersey
4Rhode Island
5Massachusetts
6Minnesota
7North Dakota
8Virginia
9Maryland
10Illinois
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
State
Connecticut
New York
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Minnesota
North Dakota
Virginia
Maryland
Illinois

10 most dangerous states on July 4th

RankState
1Oklahoma
2Oregon
3Mississippi
4California
5West Virginia
6Idaho
7New Mexico
8Montana
9Wyoming
10South Carolina
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
State
Oklahoma
Oregon
Mississippi
California
West Virginia
Idaho
New Mexico
Montana
Wyoming
South Carolina

The most dangerous states

Oklahoma ranked as the most dangerous state during the Fourth of July. It has a high wildfire risk—about 1,700 acres per 100,000 burned in 2018— and a high rate of traffic deaths for Independence Day weekend; there were about 2.5 highway deaths per million residents.

Oregon’s was a close second, with a worse road score than Oklahoma. It had 3.3 highway deaths per million residents but a lower risk for wildfires. Some states made it into the top five most dangerous mostly due to just one factor—either highway deaths or wildfires.

Mississippi landed as the third-most dangerous state because it had the highest rate of holiday traffic fatalities out of all 50 states with 19.1 highway deaths per million residents. West Virginia also made it into the top 10 mostly for a bad holiday road crash score, 16.1 traffic fatalities per million residents. Neither state had a high risk for wildfires.

California, the fourth-most dangerous state, ranked the highest of all states for wildfires, about 8,000 fires and more than a million acres burned. California has a low risk for fatal road crashes though.

The safest states

The top five safest states are all on the East Coast. All had low risk of wildfires and above-average driving safety, which is surprising since the East Coast is so densely populated. Additionally, many of these states have an average or above-average number of adults with driver’s licenses. That said, New York, New Jersey, and Massachusetts are all in the top 10 states for the use of public transportation (see table source in link).

The state with the highest wildfire risk on the East Coast is New Jersey, but it doesn’t burn even a tenth as much as Oklahoma, Oregon, or California.

Maybe the urban areas make it a little harder to see the fireworks, but if you’re on the East Coast you can take comfort in the fact that you’re having a safer night than rest of the country.

However, no matter where you live, the Fourth of July is still one of the most dangerous nights of the year.

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How to stay safe on the Fourth of July

Safe driving tips

Even if you drive safely, you can’t guarantee others will. If you plan on driving at all during the Fourth of July weekend, use the following tips to be safe:

  • Plan ahead to limit driving time on the Fourth
  • If possible, avoid driving late at night
  • Wear your seatbelt
  • Anticipate mistakes by other drivers
  • Keep a safe distance from other cars
  • Approach intersections with caution
  • Don’t drive drunk

Wildfire safety

The best thing to do with a wildfire is to avoid it and call the fire department, but if you do find yourself trapped near a wildfire remember these safety tips:

  • Park your vehicle in a spot clear of vegetation
  • Close all the windows and vents
  • Cover yourself as best you can with blankets, jackets, etc.
  • Lie on the vehicle floor
  • Call 911 and let them know where you are

 

If you’re on foot, find an area clear of vegetation like a ditch and follow the same steps above.

If you’re in your home, stay inside, close your doors but don’t lock them, fill all the sinks and tubs with cold water, and stay away from the walls.

Enjoy fireworks responsibly

While fun, fireworks can also be dangerous. Not only can they cause serious injuries, but in the right circumstances they can also start fires.

Even a simple sparkler generates enough heat to melt glass, let alone start an unwanted fire.

We recommend leaving the firework displays up to the professionals, but if you do use consumer fireworks on the Fourth, you can do a few things to minimize the risk for injuries and unwanted fires:

  • Find a wide-open fireproof surface
  • Never use homemade fireworks
  • Know what to expect from each firework you ignite
  • Keep a charged hose and a bucket of water nearby
  • Soak used fireworks in water before disposing
  • Always have a sober adult supervising

Whether you find yourself in one of the safest or most dangerous states on our list, it’s important to understand the inherent risks that come with the fun of the Fourth of July. With a little extra planning, you can still enjoy the holiday without putting yourself or your loved ones in unnecessary danger.

If you want to know where your state ranked, take a look at our full list below.

  1. Connecticut
  2. New York
  3. New Jersey
  4. Rhode Island
  5. Massachusetts
  6. Minnesota
  7. North Dakota
  8. Virginia
  9. Maryland
  10. Illinois
  11. Michigan
  12. Vermont
  13. District of Columbia
  14. Delaware
  15. Ohio
  16. Hawaii
  17. Pennsylvania
  18. Wisconsin
  19. Alaska
  20. Nebraska
  21. Iowa
  22. Indiana
  23. North Carolina
  24. Arizona
  25. New Hampshire
  26. Tennessee
  27. Arkansas
  28. Georgia
  29. Utah
  30. Colorado
  31. Kentucky
  32. Louisiana
  33. Maine
  34. Kansas
  35. Alabama
  36. Texas
  37. South Dakota
  38. Washington
  39. Missouri
  40. Florida
  41. Nevada
  42. South Carolina
  43. Wyoming
  44. Montana
  45. New Mexico
  46. Idaho
  47. West Virginia
  48. California
  49. Mississippi
  50. Oregon
  51. Oklahoma

Methodology

We ranked the states based on the fire and road accident risk.

Road risk data was taken from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. We didn’t want our data to be skewed by a population bias, so we measured road risk as the number of fatal car accidents per 1 million residents.

We used wildfire data from the Insurance Information Institute. From that raw data, the risk for fires was ranked by how many acres per 100,000 of land in the state were burned.

The road risk and wildfire risk scores were combined and organized into a list where lower scores correlated to a higher ranking on the danger list.

Sources:

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, “FARS Encyclopedia
United States Census Bureau, “2018 National and State Population Estimates
Insurance Information Institute, “Facts + Statistics: Wildfires

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